Motorola, already in the process of breaking up from the inside out, is seeing competitors Cisco (Scientific Atlanta) and Arris chip away from the outside at its modem market share. An analysis from Trefis claims that Moto's market lead has dropped from 40 percent in 2005 to 30 percent in 2009 and could fall even further in the future.
A big part of the reason for the decline is customers like Time Warner Cable and Comcast have increased commercial customer offerings through Arris modems which have been updated to support DOCSIS 3.0 and its higher speeds.
The good news for Motorola is that modems constitute a lot less business than set-tops. The bad news, Trefis said, is that Cisco has already overtaken Moto's lead in that category and is now in a better position to negotiate with cable operators to provide both digital TV boxes and cable modems.
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